Complex Event Analysis - Report

Complex Event Analysis - REPORT

Supporting narratives:

• challenge (Read more)
• Sep 1, 2020
  JOSEPH S. NYE, JR.
  Is Trump a Turning Point in World Politics.
  Will Donald Trump's presidency mark a major turning point in world history, or was it a minor historical accident. Trump's electoral appeal may turn on domestic politics, but his effect on world politics could be transformational, particularly if he gains a second term.
  CAMBRIDGE - As the United States enters the home stretch of the 2020 presidential election campaign, and with neither party's nominating convention featuring much discussion of foreign policy, the contest between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden apparently will be waged mainly on the battleground of domestic issues
• High Level Abstractions:
• (politics,trump)

• challenge (Read more)
• As president, however, according to former national security adviser John Bolton, Trump had little strategy, and his foreign policy was driven primarily by domestic politics and personal interests.5
  Just before Trump took office, Martin Wolf of The Financial Times described the moment as "the end of both an economic period - that of Western led globalization - and a geopolitical one, the post-cold war 'unipolar moment'of a US-led global order." In that case, Trump may prove to be a turning point in American and world history, particularly if he is re-elected
• High Level Abstractions:
• (the_financial_times,trump)
• (politics,trump)
• (economic,trump)
• (trump,us-led)
• (policy,trump)

• challenge (Read more)
• His electoral appeal may turn on domestic politics, but his effect on world politics could be transformational.
  The current debate over Trump revives a longstanding question: Are major historical outcomes the product of political leaders'choices, or are they largely the result of social and economic forces beyond anyone's control
• High Level Abstractions:
• (politics,trump)

• challenge (Read more)
• As president, however, according to former national security adviser John Bolton, Trump had little strategy, and his foreign policy was driven primarily by domestic politics and personal interests.5
  Just before Trump took office, Martin Wolf of The Financial Times described the moment as "the end of both an economic period - that of Western led globalization - and a geopolitical one, the post-cold war 'unipolar moment'of a US-led global order." In that case, Trump may prove to be a turning point in American and world history, particularly if he is re-elected.
• High Level Abstractions:
• (re-elected,trump)

• challenge (Read more)
• Trump's electoral appeal may turn on domestic politics, but his effect on world politics could be transformational, particularly if he gains a second term.
  CAMBRIDGE - As the United States enters the home stretch of the 2020 presidential election campaign, and with neither party's nominating convention featuring much discussion of foreign policy, the contest between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden apparently will be waged mainly on the battleground of domestic issues
• High Level Abstractions:
• (election,trump)
• (trump,united_states)
• (policy,trump)

• challenge (Read more)
• While he didn't win the popular vote in 2016, Trump successfully linked white resentment over the increasing visibility and influence of racial and ethnic minorities to foreign policy by blaming economic insecurity and wage stagnation on bad trade deals and immigration.
• High Level Abstractions:
• (economic,trump)
• (policy,trump)

• challenge (Read more)
• His electoral appeal may turn on domestic politics, but his effect on world politics could be transformational.
  The current debate over Trump revives a longstanding question: Are major historical outcomes the product of political leaders'choices, or are they largely the result of social and economic forces beyond anyone's control.
• High Level Abstractions:
• (economic,trump)

• challenge (Read more)
• Trump's electoral appeal may turn on domestic politics, but his effect on world politics could be transformational, particularly if he gains a second term.
  CAMBRIDGE - As the United States enters the home stretch of the 2020 presidential election campaign, and with neither party's nominating convention featuring much discussion of foreign policy, the contest between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden apparently will be waged mainly on the battleground of domestic issues.
• High Level Abstractions:
• (trump,waged)

• WIP (Read more)
• In the long run, however, historians will ask whether Trump's presidency was a major turning point in America's role in the world, or just a minor historical accident.
  At this stage, the answer is unknowable, because we do not know if Trump will be re-elected.
• High Level Abstractions:
• (re-elected,trump)
• (trump,unknowable)

• WIP (Read more)
• But the liberal institutional order continued to enjoy broad support until the 2016 election, when Trump became the first nominee of a major party to attack it. Trump was also a skeptic about foreign intervention, and while he has increased the defense budget, he has used force relatively sparingly.
  Trump's anti-interventionism is relatively popular, but his narrow, transactional definition of US interests, and his skepticism about alliances and multilateral institutions, is not reflective of majority opinion
• High Level Abstractions:
• (election,trump)

• WIP (Read more)
• Contrary to conventional wisdom, however, 64% favored active involvement by the time of the 2016 election, and that number rose to a high of 70% by 2018.
  Trump's election and his populist appeal rested on the economic dislocations that were accentuated by the 2008 Great Recession, but even more on polarizing cultural changes related to race, the role of women, and gender identity
• High Level Abstractions:
• (economic,trump)
• (election,trump)

• WIP (Read more)
• In the long run, however, historians will ask whether Trump's presidency was a major turning point in America's role in the world, or just a minor historical accident.
  At this stage, the answer is unknowable, because we do not know if Trump will be re-elected
• High Level Abstractions:
• (america,trump)

• WIP (Read more)
• rates the 14 presidents since 1945 and gives Trump a formal grade of "incomplete," but for now he ranks in the bottom quartile.
  Top-quartile presidents like Franklin D. Roosevelt saw the mistakes of America's isolationism in the 1930s and created a liberal international order after 1945.
• High Level Abstractions:
• (america,trump)

Target rule match count: 11.0 Challenge: 0.33 Momentum: 0.00 WIP: 0.17